Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1002 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 13 Today

9K 1002 · AUG → BOS

departs 11:11 AM ET · arrives 12:03 PM ET

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as 9K 388 from BOS: still at BOS, due off about 9:35 AM ET, 31 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at AUG that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from AUG are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.90 in

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1002 · AUG → BOS

Odds over time