Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 734 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9K 734 · BOS → ACK

departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 7:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at ACK more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ACK?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ACK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.02 in

ACK (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 734 · BOS → ACK

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACK?