tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1175 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1175 · LAS → JFK

departs 12:51 PM PT · arrives 8:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.