Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1222SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1222 · JFK → AUS
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.