tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1289 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1289 · BDA → JFK

departs 11:20 AM ADT · arrives 12:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.