Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1404SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1404 · DEN → PHX
departs 8:13 AM MT · arrives 9:48 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±4 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.