Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1700 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 1700 · XNA → DFW

departs 6:25 AM CT · arrives 7:50 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ XNA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from XNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1700 · XNA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?