Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1902 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AA 1902 · DFW → OKC

departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1902 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?