Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2334 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 2334 · SFO → PHX

departs 12:28 PM PT · arrives 2:39 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2334 · SFO → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?