Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2545 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 2545 · ORD → SLC

departs 9:21 PM CT · arrives 11:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±9 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,733 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2545 · ORD → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?