AA 2798 · DFW → FLL

departs 2:48 PM CT · arrives 6:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2798 · DFW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?