tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2854 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 2854 · BNA → LGA

departs 6:04 AM CT · arrives 9:32 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.