tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2990 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2990 · PHX → CVG

departs 10:07 AM MT · arrives 4:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CVG?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.