tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3045 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3045 · LGA → BOS

departs 7:35 AM ET · arrives 8:43 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOS?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.