Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3196SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3196 · IAH → PHL
departs 6:08 AM CT · arrives 10:39 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.