Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3295 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 3295 · LGA → DFW

departs 2:06 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3295 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?