Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3322 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AA 3322 · ORD → IAH

departs 11:11 AM CT · arrives 1:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3322 · ORD → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?