Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3326 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AA 3326 · PHL → DFW

departs 10:35 AM ET · arrives 1:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3326 · PHL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?