tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 478 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:07 AM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 478 · PHL → PHX

departs 10:37 AM ET · arrives 12:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.