Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 558 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

departs 5:38 PM CT · arrives 7:37 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?