Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 767 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AA 767 · SEA → DFW

departs 12:30 PM PT · arrives 6:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 767 · SEA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?