Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9792 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 9792 · DFW → TUL

departs 8:10 PM CT · arrives 9:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9792 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?