tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1504 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AC 1504 · YYZ → EWR

departs 12:00 PM EDT · arrives 1:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.