Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 338 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AF 338 · CDG → SEA

departs 10:10 AM CEST · arrives 11:11 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from CDG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 338 · CDG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?