Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 352 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

AS 352 · SEA → AUS

departs 8:12 AM PT · arrives 2:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 352 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?