Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 416SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 416 · LAS → PAE
departs 7:03 AM PT · arrives 9:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PAE?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.