Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 747SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 747 · PAE → PHX
departs 6:59 AM PT · arrives 9:53 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±3 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.