tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 227 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AV 227 · BOS → BOG

departs 8:47 AM ET · arrives 1:55 PM -05
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.