tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 28 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 28 · BOG → MCO

departs 8:20 AM -05 · arrives 1:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.4d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.