Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ITA AIRWAYS · FLIGHT AZ 615 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AZ 615 · BOS → FCO

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 7:12 AM CEST

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at FCO more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FCO?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCO

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

FCO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AZ 615 · BOS → FCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to FCO?