Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 1034 · SFO → BOS
departs 11:20 AM PT · arrives 8:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 35%
Thu 10/15 39%
Fri 10/16 52%
Sat 10/17 34%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.