Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 1118 · JFK → BOS
departs 1:20 PM ET · arrives 2:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Mon 10/12 53%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 40%
Thu 10/15 32%
Fri 10/16 50%
Sat 10/17 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.