Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 1146 · FLL → RIC
departs 8:23 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 32%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.