Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 1282 · RIC → BOS
departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 1:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/12 23%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
BOS is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.