Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1439
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 1439 · BOS → AUS
departs 10:06 AM ET · arrives 1:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 36%
Sat 10/17 25%
Sun 10/18 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.