Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 152 · SRQ → BOS
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 2:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Mon 10/12 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 32%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 45%
Sat 10/17 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from SRQ are usually not late
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.