B6 1632 · IAH → BOS

departs 7:08 PM CT · arrives 12:07 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 48% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ IAH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.11 in

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1632 · IAH → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?