Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 1734 · SFO → BOS
departs 10:25 AM PT · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Mon 10/12 41%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 36%
Thu 10/15 34%
Fri 10/16 46%
Sat 10/17 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.