Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 1901 · BUF → JFK
departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 27%
Sat 10/17 26%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BUF that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.