Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 1990 · SJU → EWR
departs 2:55 PM AT · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15 41%
Fri 10/16 48%
Sat 10/17 39%
Sun 10/18 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SJU that day
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.