Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2001 · BUF → JFK
departs 5:49 AM ET · arrives 7:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 10/13
Fri 10/16 9%
Sat 10/17 13%
Sun 10/18 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at BUF that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 33 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.22 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.