Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2129 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

B6 2129 · JFK → RSW

departs 11:32 AM ET · arrives 2:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2129 · JFK → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?