Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2823 · FLL → MSY
departs 9:16 PM ET · arrives 10:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 34%
Fri 10/16 37%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MSY that day
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.