Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2902
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2902 · JFK → BUF
departs 1:29 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BUF that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.