Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 413 · BOS → SFO
departs 9:32 PM ET · arrives 1:04 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 35%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sat 10/17 34%
Sun 10/18 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.