Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 470 · FLL → BOS
departs 8:21 PM ET · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 31%
Thu 10/15 44%
Fri 10/16 51%
Sat 10/17 43%
Sun 10/18 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.