Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 503 · JFK → SJU
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 2:14 PM AT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 34%
Sat 10/17 34%
Sun 10/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
10am departures from JFK are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.