Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 574 · AUA → BOS
departs 1:45 PM AST · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 41%
Sat 10/17 33%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave AUA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
AUA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.