Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 58
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 58 · AUA → JFK
departs 1:35 PM AST · arrives 6:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 27%
Thu 10/15 26%
Fri 10/16 36%
Sat 10/17 41%
Sun 10/18 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave AUA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
AUA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.