B6 700 · MSY → BOS

departs 7:13 PM CT · arrives 12:08 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSY that day

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 700 · MSY → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?